CFB · 1st Quarter SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 14 books
AUB -0.5 (9 consensus books · 14 tracked)
Market Move
MSST +0.5 to +0.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
CFB first-quarter spreads: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward MSST across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

AUB
Vig-free consensus -0.5 +136 (42.3% across 9 books)
Best price: +0.5 -160 at DraftKings
MSST
Vig-free consensus +0.5 -136 (57.7% across 9 books)
Best price: +1.5 -170 at FanDuel

AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookAUBMSSTUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+0.5-165-0.5+130BetMGM
Caesars+0.5-162-0.5+123Caesars
DraftKings+0.5-160-0.5+124DraftKings
FanDuel-1.5+140+1.5-170FanDuel
Fanatics-0.5+140+0.5-195Fanatics

Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus AUB -0.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Spread

The Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter spread opened at MSST +0.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:15 AM CT) and currently sits at MSST +0.5 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 1:04 PM CT.

At Tue, Nov 10, 10:16 AM CT, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MSST by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter spread.

Across the 14 sportsbooks currently quoting the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices AUB at -0.5 +136 (42.3% vig-free probability) and MSST at +0.5 -136 (57.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: AUB +0.5 -160 at DraftKings; MSST +1.5 -170 at FanDuel.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CFB first-quarter spreads release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

CFB First-Quarter Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date0000-
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1st Quarter Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-spread-2026-11-14-27500" title="Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-spread-2026-11-14-27500">AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>