ENES
CFB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: VAN (+1.6% implied prob)

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 45 books
ALA -504 (45 consensus books · 45 tracked)
Market Move
VAN 15.7% to 17.4% (1.6% implied probability toward VAN)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALA 83.5% · VAN 16.6%
Consensus Spread
VAN +14.5
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
ALA 31 – VAN 16.5

Market Brief: ALA @ VAN Moneyline

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -504 / VAN +504 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET). Best price per side: ALA -610 at ProphetX; VAN +580 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 15.7% to 17.4% toward VAN (1.6% implied probability) across 49 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

What is the ALA @ VAN moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -504 / VAN +504 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET). Best price per side: ALA -610 at ProphetX; VAN +580 at ProphetX.

How has the ALA @ VAN moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 15.7% to 17.4% toward VAN (1.6% implied probability) across 49 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALA @ VAN moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

Why is the ALA @ VAN moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward VAN across 12 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ALA
Vig-free consensus -504 (83.5% across 45 books)
Best price: -610 at ProphetX
VAN
Vig-free consensus +504 (16.6% across 45 books)
Best price: +580 at ProphetX

ALA @ VAN Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookALAVANExecution
BetMGM-650+500BetMGM
Caesars-750+500Caesars
DraftKings-675+490DraftKings
FanDuel-650+480FanDuel
Fanatics-714+500Fanatics
ProphetX-610+580ProphetX

Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus ALA -504. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALA @ VAN Moneyline

The Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline opened at 15.7% implied probability for VAN on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 17.4% implied probability for VAN across 49 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward VAN. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 3:00 PM ET, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward VAN by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline.

Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 8.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 45-book consensus prices ALA at -504 (83.5% vig-free probability) and VAN at +504 (16.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ALA -610 at ProphetX; VAN +580 at ProphetX.

In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1951943
Last 30 days1521330

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-moneyline-2026-11-14-27490" title="Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-moneyline-2026-11-14-27490">ALA @ VAN Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>