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CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: ALA -9.5 → -10 (-0.5 pts)

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 16 books
ALA -9.5 (8 consensus books · 16 tracked)
Market Move
VAN +9.5 to +10 (0.5 pts toward ALA)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALA 86.3% · VAN 13.7%
Consensus Spread
VAN +17
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
ALA 33.8 – VAN 16.8

Market Brief: ALA @ VAN 1st Half Spread

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -9.5 -105 / VAN +9.5 +105 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: ALA -9.5 -112 at DraftKings; VAN +10.5 -122 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from ALA -9.5 to ALA -10 (0.5 pts) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

What is the ALA @ VAN 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -9.5 -105 / VAN +9.5 +105 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: ALA -9.5 -112 at DraftKings; VAN +10.5 -122 at FanDuel.

How has the ALA @ VAN 1st half spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from ALA -9.5 to ALA -10 (0.5 pts) across 16 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALA @ VAN 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

Why is the ALA @ VAN 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward ALA across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ALA
Vig-free consensus -9.5 -105 (51.1% across 8 books)
Best price: -9.5 -112 at DraftKings
VAN
Vig-free consensus +9.5 +105 (48.9% across 8 books)
Best price: +10.5 -122 at FanDuel

ALA @ VAN 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookALAVANExecution
Caesars-9.5-118+9.5-105Caesars
DraftKings-9.5-112+9.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel-10.5+100+10.5-122FanDuel
Fanatics-9.5-120+9.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus ALA -9.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALA @ VAN 1st Half Spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half spread opened at VAN +9.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at VAN +10 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward ALA. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ALA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half spread.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices ALA at -9.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and VAN at +9.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ALA -9.5 -112 at DraftKings; VAN +10.5 -122 at FanDuel.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27490" title="Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27490">ALA @ VAN 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>