ENES
CFB · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: ALA (+1.0% implied prob)

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 12 books
ALA -418 (12 consensus books · 12 tracked)
Market Move
VAN 21.5% to 20.5% (1.0% implied probability toward ALA)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALA 86.3% · VAN 13.7%
Consensus Spread
VAN +17
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
ALA 33.8 – VAN 16.8

Market Brief: ALA @ VAN 1st Half Moneyline

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -418 / VAN +418 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:04 PM ET). Best price per side: ALA -520 at DraftKings; VAN +430 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 21.5% to 20.5% toward ALA (1.0% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

What is the ALA @ VAN 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALA -418 / VAN +418 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:04 PM ET). Best price per side: ALA -520 at DraftKings; VAN +430 at FanDuel.

How has the ALA @ VAN 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 21.5% to 20.5% toward ALA (1.0% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALA @ VAN 1st half moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

Why is the ALA @ VAN 1st Half Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward ALA across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ALA
Vig-free consensus -418 (80.7% across 12 books)
Best price: -520 at DraftKings
VAN
Vig-free consensus +418 (19.3% across 12 books)
Best price: +430 at FanDuel

ALA @ VAN 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookALAVANExecution
Caesars-590+400Caesars
DraftKings-520+390DraftKings
FanDuel-650+430FanDuel
Fanatics-575+375Fanatics

Full market: 12 sportsbooks, consensus ALA -418. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALA @ VAN 1st Half Moneyline

The Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half moneyline opened at 21.5% implied probability for VAN on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 20.5% implied probability for VAN across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward ALA. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:04 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ALA by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half moneyline.

Across the 12 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices ALA at -418 (80.7% vig-free probability) and VAN at +418 (19.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ALA -520 at DraftKings; VAN +430 at FanDuel.

In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1102
Last 30 days0000

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27490" title="Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27490">ALA @ VAN 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>