ENES
CFB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 50.5 → 48 (-2.5 pts)

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 38 books
47.5 (19 consensus books · 38 tracked)
Market Move
50.5 to 48 (2.5 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 97 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALA 83.5% · VAN 16.5%
Consensus Spread
VAN +14.5
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
ALA 31 – VAN 16.5

Market Brief: ALA @ VAN Total

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 47.5 -104 / Under 47.5 +104 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:02 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 47.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 48 -110 at Fanatics.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 50.5 to 48 toward Under (2.5 pts) across 44 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

What is the ALA @ VAN total consensus line and best price per side?

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 47.5 -104 / Under 47.5 +104 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:02 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 47.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 48 -110 at Fanatics.

How has the ALA @ VAN total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 50.5 to 48 toward Under (2.5 pts) across 44 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALA @ VAN total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET).

Why is the ALA @ VAN total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 21 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 2.0 pts toward Under across 39 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 47.5 -104 (51% across 19 books)
Best price: 47.5 -109 at ProphetX
Under
Vig-free consensus 47.5 +104 (49% across 19 books)
Best price: 48 -110 at Fanatics

ALA @ VAN Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM47.5-11847.5-102BetMGM
Caesars47.5-11747.5-103Caesars
DraftKings47.5-11847.5-102DraftKings
FanDuel47.5-11547.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics48-11048-110Fanatics
ProphetX47.5-10947.5+106ProphetX

Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus 47.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALA @ VAN Total

The Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores total opened at 50.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 48 across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.5 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:02 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 2:58 PM ET, 21 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores total.

As of Fri, Nov 13, 7:15 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +6.0% toward Under across 39 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 2.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

At Fri, Nov 13, 9:14 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores total.

Across the 38 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices Over at 47.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 47.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 47.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 48 -110 at Fanatics.

In the CFB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 97 · At the close: 8 · Behind close: 46 (151 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.8% of moved lines ahead of close (97 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13

Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 15–Nov 13): 61-47, +30.4u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date97846151
Last 30 days69435108

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 68% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-total-2026-11-14-27490" title="Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/alabama-crimson-tide-at-vanderbilt-commodores-total-2026-11-14-27490">ALA @ VAN Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>