SPORT: COLLEGE FOOTBALL

College football is materially less efficiently priced than the NFL, and the reason is structural rather than a market failure. There are far more games, talent varies enormously between programs, conference depth is uneven, and the betting money is spread thin across a large board. Less money per game means less price correction per game.

That inefficiency is not free. It rewards the work of knowing rosters, motivation, and schedule context at a level the market has not priced. This track covers the fundamentals, the motivation factors that recur every season, how line moves are timed through the week, and bowl season, where opt-outs and coaching transitions can make the roster on the field materially different from the roster the number was built on.