NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineKickoff Freeze · Game In Progress

Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars: 1st Quarter Moneyline closing line and CLV

Prices as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Thu, Nov 12, 4:38 PM ET · Updated Thu, Nov 12, 8:04 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: DAL -145 (opened -163.5)
Market Move: DAL 62.0% to 59.2% (2.9% implied probability toward WPG)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 2 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (3 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: WPG 14.7% · DAL 85.3%
Consensus Spread: DAL -2.5
Consensus Total: 5.5
Market-Implied Score: WPG 1.5 – DAL 4

Market Brief: WPG @ DAL 1st Quarter Moneyline

Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Stars 1st Quarter Moneyline: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at DAL -145 after opening at DAL -163.5 (18 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NHL first-period moneylines): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 30–Oct 8.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.0% to 59.2% toward WPG (2.9% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: DAL -145 (opened -163.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline closing and opening consensus line?

How did the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline move from open to close?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.0% to 59.2% toward WPG (2.9% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What was the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: DAL -145 (opened -163.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

WPG @ DAL 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: DAL -145 (opened -163.5).

Full market: 0 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

DAL moneyline opened -163.5 and closed -145 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no 1st Quarter Moneyline release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 30–Oct 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	2	1	0	3
Last 30 days	0	0	0	0

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/winnipeg-jets-at-dallas-stars-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34912" title="Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/winnipeg-jets-at-dallas-stars-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34912">WPG @ DAL 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationWPG @ DAL · Shots on Goal

WPG @ DAL · Winnipeg Jets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Winnipeg Jets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WPG Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+11.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 13.7 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
11.0	80.2%	13.7	2.5 (-113)	+11.2

Compare WPG Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 2.5 (O -122)DraftKings 2.5 (O -130)BetMGM 2.5 (O -125)Caesars 2.5 (O -132)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Kyle Connor WPG · Prev 3.5 (0.0)	3.5	20.7%	140.0%(+119.3% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#2 Neal Pionk WPG · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	15.7%	60.0%(+44.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#3 Mark Scheifele WPG · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	10.8%	60.0%(+49.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#4 Josh Morrissey WPG · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	15.7%	60.0%(+44.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#5 Gabriel Vilardi WPG · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	9.9%	60.0%(+50.1% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#6 Dawson Mercer WPG · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	7.4%	60.0%(+52.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Winnipeg Jets (WPG)Balanced Allocation

+11.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 13.7 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)

Dallas Stars (DAL)Team Tide Shift

+11.5 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 15.0 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Winnipeg Jets team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWPG @ DAL · Shots on Goal

WPG @ DAL · Dallas Stars WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Dallas Stars's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DAL Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 2 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+11.5 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 15.0 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
12.0	79.8%	15.0	3.5 (+122)	+11.5

Compare DAL Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 3.5 (O +120)DraftKings 3.5 (O +115)BetMGM 3.0 (O -145)Caesars 3.5 (O +107)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Thomas Harley DAL · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	13.1%	71.4%(+58.3% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#2 Wyatt Johnston DAL · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	16.2%	71.4%(+55.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#3 Jason Robertson DAL · Prev 3.5 (-1.0)	2.5	19.2%	71.4%(+52.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Roope Hintz DAL · Prev 2.5 (-1.0)	1.5	9.1%	42.9%(+33.8% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Arttu Hyry DAL · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	15.1%	42.9%(+27.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#6 Tyler Seguin DAL · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	7.1%	42.9%(+35.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Dallas Stars team page →

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: WPG @ DAL 1st Quarter Moneyline

What was the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline closing and opening consensus line?

How did the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline move from open to close?

What was the WPG @ DAL 1st quarter moneyline release result and closing consensus?

WPG @ DAL 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

WPG @ DAL · Winnipeg Jets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WPG @ DAL · Dallas Stars WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WPG @ DAL · Winnipeg Jets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WPG @ DAL · Dallas Stars WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)