NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WPGPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Dawson Mercer (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Dawson Mercer Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Thu, Oct 15, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 15 to Nov 5), Dawson Mercer's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Dawson Mercer)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 15	NYR @ NJ	1.5 (-105)	—	3	Over
Oct 17	NJ @ WAS	1.5 (+115)	0.0	1	Under
Oct 20	COL @ NJ	1.5 (+105)	0.0	2	Over
Oct 22	ANA @ NJ	1.5 (-115)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 3	WPG @ MON	1.5 (-110)	0.0	2	Over
Nov 5	VAN @ WPG	1.5 (-160)	0.0	1	Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Dawson Mercer Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.2).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.2Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 1.5
Current Posted Line: 1.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 1.7
Actual Output Delta: +0.2
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 15 · vs NYR	1.5	—	3	+1.5
Oct 17 · @ WAS	1.5	0.0	1	-0.5
Oct 20 · vs COL	1.5	0.0	2	+0.5
Oct 22 · vs ANA	1.5	0.0	1	-0.5
Nov 3 · @ MON	1.5	0.0	2	+0.5
Nov 5 · vs VAN	1.5	0.0	1	-0.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Dawson Mercer Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Dawson Mercer.

Dawson Mercer CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Dawson Mercer.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21