NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: DALPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Wyatt Johnston (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Wyatt Johnston Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Wyatt Johnston's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 27NJ @ DALOct 29MON @ DALOct 31CBJ @ DALNov 3DAL @ WASNov 5DAL @ CBJNov 7SJ @ DAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Wyatt Johnston's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Wyatt Johnston)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
NJ @ DAL2.5 (+106)—1Under
MON @ DAL2.5 (-118)0.02Under
CBJ @ DAL2.5 (+100)0.03Over
DAL @ WAS2.5 (-108)0.02Under
DAL @ CBJ2.5 (+120)0.03Over
SJ @ DAL2.5 (-138)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Wyatt Johnston Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.2
Actual Output Delta
-0.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Wyatt Johnston Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output401Oct 27vs NJ2Oct 29vs MON3Oct 31vs CBJ2Nov 3@ WAS3Nov 5@ CBJNov 7vs SJ
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · vs NJ2.5—1-1.5
Oct 29 · vs MON2.50.02-0.5
Oct 31 · vs CBJ2.50.03+0.5
Nov 3 · @ WAS2.50.02-0.5
Nov 5 · @ CBJ2.50.03+0.5
Nov 7 · vs SJ2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Wyatt Johnston Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Wyatt Johnston prop write-up.

Wyatt Johnston CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 22WPG @ DALShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+116) · FanDuel2.54BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Wyatt Johnston Prop Write-Ups

Oct 22 CT · WPG @ DAL · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Johnston's regular shooting workload and first-unit power-play role provide enough opportunities to reach the third shot.

Counter-Case: Rantanen can absorb the finishing chances from their shared possessions and leave Johnston making the final pass. An early Dallas lead can shift later possessions toward protecting territory, making the low-event route to the team-total Under a threat to the third shot.

Wyatt Johnston WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 22WPG @ DALShots on GoalOver 2.52.54Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921