NHL · Home Team TotalFinal · Settled

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets: Home Team Total closing line and CLV

Prices as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:56 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 9:10 PM ET · Updated Thu, Nov 12, 9:48 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: 3.5 (opened 2.5)
Market Move: 2.5 to 3.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 32 · At close: 3 · Behind: 18 (53 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: TB 87.4% · CBJ 12.6%
Consensus Spread: CBJ +2.5
Consensus Total: 5.5
Market-Implied Score: TB 4 – CBJ 1.5

Market Brief: TB @ CBJ Home Team Total

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Columbus Blue Jackets Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 3.5 after opening at 2.5 (13 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NHL team totals): 64.0% of moved lines ahead of close (32 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Sept 29–Nov 9.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 11:17 AM ET), the line moved from 2.5 to 3.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 13 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 3.5 (opened 2.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the TB @ CBJ home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the TB @ CBJ home team total move from open to close?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 11:17 AM ET), the line moved from 2.5 to 3.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 13 sportsbooks.

What was the TB @ CBJ home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 3.5 (opened 2.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

TB @ CBJ Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: 3.5 (opened 2.5).

Full market: 6 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The Home Team Total opened 2.5 and closed 3.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no Home Team Total release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NHL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 64.0% of moved lines ahead of close (32 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Sept 29–Nov 9

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	32	3	18	53
Last 30 days	20	2	10	32

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 64% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/tampa-bay-lightning-at-columbus-blue-jackets-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34908" title="Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/tampa-bay-lightning-at-columbus-blue-jackets-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34908">TB @ CBJ Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationTB @ CBJ · Shots on Goal

TB @ CBJ · Tampa Bay Lightning WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Tampa Bay Lightning's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

TB Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+22.6 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 26.1 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

5 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
12.0	46.0%	26.1	3.5 (+138)	+22.6

Compare TB Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 2.5 DraftKings 3.5 (O +120)BetMGM 3.0 (O -120)Caesars 3.5 (O +116)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Jake Guentzel TB · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	8.9%	71.4%(+62.5% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#2 Nikita Kucherov TB · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	15.1%	71.4%(+56.3% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#3 Brandon Hagel TB · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	10.3%	71.4%(+61.1% vs Hist)	-1.0		Steady Share
#4 Charle-Edouard D'Astous TB · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	4.8%	42.9%(+38.1% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#5 John Carlson TB · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	6.9%	42.9%(+36.0% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#6 Sam O'Reilly TB · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	—	42.9%	0.0	—	Steady Share

Tampa Bay Lightning (TB)Balanced Allocation

+22.6 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 26.1 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

Columbus Blue Jackets (CBJ)Team Tide Shift

+16.8 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 20.3 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Tampa Bay Lightning team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftTB @ CBJ · Shots on Goal

TB @ CBJ · Columbus Blue Jackets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Columbus Blue Jackets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CBJ Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 2 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+16.8 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 20.3 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

5 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
13.0	64.0%	20.3	3.5 (+144)	+16.8

Compare CBJ Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 3.5 (O +114)DraftKings 3.5 (O +115)BetMGM 3.0 (O -145)Caesars 3.5 (O +112)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Zach Werenski CBJ · Prev 2.5 (+1.0)	3.5	15.1%	100.0%(+84.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Adam Fantilli CBJ · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	13.7%	71.4%(+57.7% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#3 Kent Johnson CBJ · Prev 1.5 (+1.0)	2.5	8.6%	71.4%(+62.8% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Ivan Provorov CBJ · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	11.5%	42.9%(+31.4% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#5 Denton Mateychuk CBJ · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	5.7%	42.9%(+37.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#6 Charlie Coyle CBJ · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	9.4%	42.9%(+33.5% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Columbus Blue Jackets team page →

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: TB @ CBJ Home Team Total

What was the TB @ CBJ home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the TB @ CBJ home team total move from open to close?

What was the TB @ CBJ home team total release result and closing consensus?

TB @ CBJ Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

NHL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

TB @ CBJ · Tampa Bay Lightning WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

TB @ CBJ · Columbus Blue Jackets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

TB @ CBJ · Tampa Bay Lightning WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

TB @ CBJ · Columbus Blue Jackets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)