NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: TBPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

John Carlson (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), John Carlson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.2.52.11.71.30.90.51.51.51.51.51.51.5Oct 24TB @ UTAOct 29WPG @ TBOct 31TB @ NASNov 3DET @ TBNov 5CHI @ TBNov 7TB @ MIN

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), John Carlson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (John Carlson)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
TB @ UTAReduced-Role Line1.5 (-125)—0Under
WPG @ TB1.5 (-140)0.03Over
TB @ NAS1.5 (-110)0.05Over
DET @ TB1.5 (-138)0.01Under
CHI @ TB1.5 (+140)0.00Under
TB @ MIN1.5 (-130)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

John Carlson Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +0.1 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+1.1 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.1Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
2.6
Actual Output Delta
+0.1
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
John Carlson Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output704Oct 17vs VAN3Oct 29vs WPG5Oct 31@ NAS1Nov 3vs DET0Nov 5vs CHINov 7@ MIN
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 17 · vs VAN2.5—4+1.5
Oct 29 · vs WPG1.5-1.03+1.5
Oct 31 · @ NAS1.50.05+3.5
Nov 3 · vs DET1.50.01-0.5
Nov 5 · vs CHI1.50.00-1.5
Nov 7 · @ MIN1.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

John Carlson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for John Carlson.

John Carlson CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for John Carlson.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921