Zach Werenski (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Zach Werenski's posted shots on goal line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 3.5 to 2.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Zach Werenski)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ @ PHI | 3.5 (+135) | — | 1 | Under | |
| CBJ @ CAR | 2.5 (+106) | -1.0 | 1 | Under | |
| CBJ @ DAL | 2.5 (-128) | 0.0 | 4 | Over | |
| COL @ CBJ | 2.5 (-160) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| DAL @ CBJ | 2.5 (-130) | 0.0 | 5 | Over | |
| CBJ @ BUF | 2.5 (-140) | 0.0 | 3 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Zach Werenski Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-0.8).
- Window Open Line
- 3.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 2.7
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.8
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · @ PHI | 3.5 | — | 1 | -2.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ CAR | 2.5 | -1.0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ DAL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nov 3 · vs COL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs DAL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ BUF | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
Zach Werenski Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Zach Werenski.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Zach Werenski.
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |