J.T. Miller · Shots on Goal
- Pick & Line
- Over 1.5
- Fair Value
- 2.2 (-182)
- Book
- Fanatics (-135)
Miller can reach two shots through scoring-line minutes and renewed shot initiation without needing a return to the first power-play unit.
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
| Sportsbook | NYR | EDM | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -150 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +117 | -137 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +110 | -150 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +120 | -154 | FanDuel |
Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus NYR +130. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers first-period moneyline opened at 59.2% implied probability for EDM on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:17 AM CT) and currently sits at 58.8% implied probability for EDM across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward NYR. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 1:12 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 11:41 AM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward EDM by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers first-period moneyline.
Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices NYR at +130 (43.5% vig-free probability) and EDM at -130 (56.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NYR +120 at FanDuel; EDM -137 at Caesars.
In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/new-york-rangers-at-edmonton-oilers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34498" title="New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/new-york-rangers-at-edmonton-oilers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34498">NYR @ EDM 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across New York Rangers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+12.4 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 14.9 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0 | 74.0% | 14.9 | 2.5 (-150) | +12.4 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Mika Zibanejad NYR · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 10.4% | 100.0%(+89.6% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Pavel Dorofeyev NYR · Prev 2.5 (0.0) |
+12.4 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 14.9 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)
+14.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 17.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Edmonton Oilers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+14.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 17.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
| 2.5 |
| 12.2% |
| 100.0%(+87.8% vs Hist) |
| 0.0 |
| Steady Share |
#3 Alexis Lafrenière NYR · Prev 2.5 (-1.0) | 1.5 | 15.7% | 60.0%(+44.3% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Usage Transfer |
#4 Adam Fox NYR · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 9.6% | 60.0%(+50.4% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#5 J.T. Miller NYR · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 15.7% | 60.0%(+44.3% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Tye Kartye NYR · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 10.4% | 60.0%(+49.6% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.0 | 84.7% | 17.7 | 3.5 (-104) | +14.2 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Connor McDavid EDM · Prev 3.5 (0.0) | 3.5 | 18.3% | 100.0%(+81.7% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Leon Draisaitl EDM · Prev 3.5 (0.0) | 3.5 | 23.1% | 100.0%(+76.9% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share | |
#3 Evan Bouchard EDM · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 13.4% | 71.4%(+58.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#4 Zach Hyman EDM · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 10.6% | 71.4%(+60.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#5 Mattias Ekholm EDM · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 8.7% | 42.9%(+34.2% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#6 Kasperi Kapanen EDM · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 10.6% | 42.9%(+32.3% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
Miller can reach two shots through scoring-line minutes and renewed shot initiation without needing a return to the first power-play unit.