Why is the COL @ TOR moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 32 books
- COL -151 (32 consensus books · 32 tracked)
- Market Move
- TOR 42.6% to 41.7% (0.9% implied probability toward COL)
- Lane CLV record
- NHL moneylines: 36 Beat / 1 Tied / 12 Lost (49 measured)
Why is the COL @ TOR moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward COL across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
COL @ TOR Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | COL | TOR | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -175 | +145 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -170 | +140 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -170 | +142 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -178 | +146 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -169 | +140 | Fanatics |
Full market: 32 sportsbooks, consensus COL -151. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: COL @ TOR Moneyline
The Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline opened at 42.6% implied probability for TOR on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 2:53 AM CT) and currently sits at 41.7% implied probability for TOR across 32 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.9% implied probability, with net market movement toward COL. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 12:24 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 10:39 AM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward COL by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline.
Across the 32 sportsbooks currently quoting the Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 32-book consensus prices COL at -151 (60.2% vig-free probability) and TOR at +151 (39.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: COL -169 at Fanatics; TOR +146 at FanDuel.
In the NHL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 36 times, tied 1, and lost 12 season to date (49 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NHL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (36 Beat, 1 Tied, 12 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 36 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 75.0% |
| Last 30 days | 20 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 66.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-10-34660" title="Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-10-34660">COL @ TOR Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>