NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NYI (+1.2% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NYI @ SJ 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 17 books
NYI -113 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
Market Move
SJ 51.2% to 50.0% (1.2% implied probability toward NYI)
Lane CLV record
NHL first-period moneylines: 2 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the NYI @ SJ 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.6% implied probability) toward NYI across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NYI
Vig-free consensus -113 (53% across 17 books)
Best price: -121 at Caesars
SJ
Vig-free consensus +113 (47% across 17 books)
Best price: +105 at BetMGM

NYI @ SJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNYISJUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-140+105BetMGM
Caesars-121+103Caesars
DraftKings-130-105DraftKings
FanDuel-132+104FanDuel

Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus NYI -113. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: NYI @ SJ 1st Quarter Moneyline

The New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks first-period moneyline opened at 51.2% implied probability for SJ on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:17 AM CT) and currently sits at 50.0% implied probability for SJ across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward NYI. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 7:32 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 5:49 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NYI by a median of 1.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks first-period moneyline.

Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices NYI at -113 (53.0% vig-free probability) and SJ at +113 (47.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NYI -121 at Caesars; SJ +105 at BetMGM.

In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2103100.0%
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/new-york-islanders-at-san-jose-sharks-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34500" title="New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/new-york-islanders-at-san-jose-sharks-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34500">NYI @ SJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>