Connor McDavid (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), Connor McDavid's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 3.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Connor McDavid)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY @ EDM | 3.5 (-110) | — | 3 | Under | |
| EDM @ NYI | 3.5 (+140) | 0.0 | 3 | Under | |
| EDM @ NYR | 2.5 (-140) | -1.0 | 6 | Over | |
| EDM @ NJ | 3.5 (+145) | +1.0 | 1 | Under | |
| ANA @ EDM | 3.5 (+120) | 0.0 | 3 | Under | |
| VAN @ EDM | 3.5 (+118) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Connor McDavid Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.3).
- Window Open Line
- 3.5
- Current Posted Line
- 3.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 3.2
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs CGY | 3.5 | — | 3 | -0.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ NYI | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ NYR | 2.5 | -1.0 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Nov 3 · @ NJ | 3.5 | +1.0 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs ANA | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs VAN | 3.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Connor McDavid Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Connor McDavid.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Connor McDavid.
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |