NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NYRPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Pavel Dorofeyev (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Pavel Dorofeyev Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Thu, Oct 22, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:57 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Pavel Dorofeyev Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Pavel Dorofeyev's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Pavel Dorofeyev)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	NYR @ OTT	2.5 (+106)	—	4	Over
Oct 26	LA @ NYR	2.5 (-140)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 1	EDM @ NYR	2.5 (-148)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 3	STL @ NYR	2.5 (-135)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 5	PHI @ NYR	2.5 (-130)	0.0	4	Over
Nov 7	NYR @ SEA	2.5 (-130)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Pavel Dorofeyev Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.2
Actual Output Delta: -0.3
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · @ OTT	2.5	—	4	+1.5
Oct 26 · vs LA	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 1 · vs EDM	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 3 · vs STL	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 5 · vs PHI	2.5	0.0	4	+1.5
Nov 7 · @ SEA	2.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Pavel Dorofeyev Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Pavel Dorofeyev prop write-up.

Pavel Dorofeyev CLV Counts

1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 22	NYR @ TOR	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5 (-125) · Fanatics	2.5	2	Beat	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Pavel Dorofeyev Prop Write-Ups

Oct 22 CT · NYR @ TOR · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Second-line minutes and first-unit power-play work give Pavel Dorofeyev multiple routes to the required shooting volume.

Counter-Case: Extended defensive shifts can keep Miller's line from establishing possession. If the first power-play unit repeatedly feeds other shooters, Dorofeyev can finish with too few official attempts.

Pavel Dorofeyev WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 22	NYR @ TOR	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5	2.5	2	Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21