NHL · Home Team TotalKickoff Freeze · Game In Progress

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers: Home Team Total closing line and CLV

Prices as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:56 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Thu, Nov 12, 7:05 PM ET · Updated Thu, Nov 12, 7:38 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: 3.5 (opened 3.5)
Market Move: 3.5 to 3.5 (flat since open)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 32 · At close: 3 · Behind: 18 (53 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DET 77.7% · FLA 22.3%
Consensus Spread: FLA +1.5
Consensus Total: 8.5
Market-Implied Score: DET 5 – FLA 3.5

Market Brief: DET @ FLA Home Team Total

Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 3.5 after opening at 3.5 (13 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NHL team totals): 64.0% of moved lines ahead of close (32 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Sept 29–Nov 9.

The line is unchanged since open (3.5) across 13 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 3.5 (opened 3.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the DET @ FLA home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the DET @ FLA home team total move from open to close?

The line is unchanged since open (3.5) across 13 sportsbooks.

What was the DET @ FLA home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 3.5 (opened 3.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

DET @ FLA Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: 3.5 (opened 3.5).

Full market: 9 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The Home Team Total opened 3.5 and closed 3.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no Home Team Total release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NHL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 64.0% of moved lines ahead of close (32 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Sept 29–Nov 9

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	32	3	18	53
Last 30 days	20	2	10	32

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 64% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/detroit-red-wings-at-florida-panthers-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34910" title="Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/detroit-red-wings-at-florida-panthers-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34910">DET @ FLA Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationDET @ FLA · Shots on Goal

DET @ FLA · Detroit Red Wings WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Detroit Red Wings's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DET Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+12.6 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 15.1 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
13.0	86.0%	15.1	2.5 (-106)	+12.6

Compare DET Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 2.5 (O -106)DraftKings 2.5 (O -120)BetMGM 2.5 (O -115)Caesars 2.5 (O -122)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Alex DeBrincat DET · Prev 3.5 (0.0)	3.5	19.0%	140.0%(+121.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#2 Lucas Raymond DET · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	18.0%	100.0%(+82.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#3 Viktor Arvidsson DET · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	18.0%	100.0%(+82.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#4 Moritz Seider DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	12.0%	60.0%(+48.0% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#5 Justin Faulk DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	7.0%	60.0%(+53.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#6 Emmitt Finnie DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)	1.5	12.0%	60.0%(+48.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Detroit Red Wings (DET)Balanced Allocation

+12.6 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 15.1 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)

Florida Panthers (FLA)Balanced Allocation

+16.9 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 20.4 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Detroit Red Wings team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationDET @ FLA · Shots on Goal

DET @ FLA · Florida Panthers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Florida Panthers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

FLA Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+16.9 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 20.4 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
16.0	78.5%	20.4	3.5 (-110)	+16.9

Compare FLA Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 3.5 DraftKings 3.5 BetMGM 3.5 (O -110)Caesars 3.5 Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Brady Tkachuk FLA · Prev 3.5 (0.0)	3.5	18.8%	100.0%(+81.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#2 Sam Reinhart FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	14.1%	71.4%(+57.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#3 Carter Verhaeghe FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	11.4%	71.4%(+60.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#4 Matthew Tkachuk FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	9.4%	71.4%(+62.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#5 Anton Lundell FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	13.4%	71.4%(+58.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#6 Sam Bennett FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)	2.5	11.4%	71.4%(+60.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share