Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 44 books
- 40.5 (42 consensus books · 44 tracked)
- Market Move
- 43.5 to 40.5 (3.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 15 · At close: 1 · Behind: 6 (22 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- SEA 71.4% · LV 28.6%
- Consensus Spread
- LV +6.5
- Consensus Total
- 40.5
- Market-Implied Score
- SEA 23.5 – LV 17
Market Brief: SEA @ LV Total
Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 40.5 -100 / Under 40.5 +100 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (44 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 40.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 40.5 -105 at ProphetX.
Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET), the line moved from 43.5 to 40.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 46 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).
What is the SEA @ LV total consensus line and best price per side?
Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 40.5 -100 / Under 40.5 +100 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (44 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 40.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 40.5 -105 at ProphetX.
How has the SEA @ LV total moved from open to current?
Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET), the line moved from 43.5 to 40.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 46 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for SEA @ LV total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).
Why is the SEA @ LV total moving?
- Market consensus moved from 40.5 to 42.5 toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
SEA @ LV Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 44 sportsbooks, consensus 40.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: SEA @ LV Total
The Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders total opened at 43.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 40.5 across 46 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 7:15 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 41, shifting from 40.5 to 42.5 toward Over. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 41 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
Across the 44 sportsbooks currently quoting the Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 42-book consensus prices Over at 40.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 40.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 40.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 40.5 -105 at ProphetX.
In the NFL game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 15 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 6 (22 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 71.4% of moved lines ahead of close (15 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 15-7, +21.7u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-las-vegas-raiders-total-2026-11-15-35259" title="Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-las-vegas-raiders-total-2026-11-15-35259">SEA @ LV Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>