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NFL · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Over 40.5 → 42 (+1.5 pts)

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 45 books
42 (26 consensus books · 45 tracked)
Market Move
40.5 to 42 (1.5 pts toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 15 · At close: 1 · Behind: 6 (22 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIN 41.4% · GB 58.6%
Consensus Spread
GB -3
Consensus Total
42
Market-Implied Score
MIN 19.5 – GB 22.5

Market Brief: MIN @ GB Total

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 42 -101 / Under 42 +101 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 41.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 42.5 -110 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET), the line moved from 40.5 to 42 toward Over (1.5 pts) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIN @ GB total consensus line and best price per side?

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 42 -101 / Under 42 +101 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 41.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 42.5 -110 at ProphetX.

How has the MIN @ GB total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET), the line moved from 40.5 to 42 toward Over (1.5 pts) across 45 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIN @ GB total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIN @ GB total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 14 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 42 -101 (50.3% across 26 books)
Best price: 41.5 -115 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 42 +101 (49.7% across 26 books)
Best price: 42.5 -110 at ProphetX

MIN @ GB Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM42-11042-108BetMGM
Caesars42-11242-108Caesars
DraftKings41.5-11541.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel42.5-10542.5-115FanDuel
Fanatics42-11042-110Fanatics
ProphetX42.5+10442.5-110ProphetX

Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 42. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIN @ GB Total

The Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers total opened at 40.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 42 across 45 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 11:29 AM ET, 14 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers total.

Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 26-book consensus prices Over at 42 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 42 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 41.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 42.5 -110 at ProphetX.

In the NFL game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 15 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 6 (22 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 71.4% of moved lines ahead of close (15 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9

Release Record — NFL game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 15-7, +21.7u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date151622
Last 30 days111517

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/minnesota-vikings-at-green-bay-packers-total-2026-11-15-35408" title="Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/minnesota-vikings-at-green-bay-packers-total-2026-11-15-35408">MIN @ GB Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>