Flores’ blitz-driven defense
Minnesota’s defense is built around an aggressive blitz approach under Brian Flores. It is tied for the league lead with 21 sacks and ranks second in yards allowed per game, according to the latest team preview.
Mon 11/9Bills at Vikings7:15 PM CT · 8:15 PM ETKickoff in6days:17hrs:08min
NFL team briefing
Minnesota Vikings
Bills at Vikings odds, injury report and pick ·
Mon 11/9vs Bills7:15 PM CT 8:15 PM ET
Vikings +3.5Total 46Vikings ML +150Kalshi Vikings 39¢ at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3Lines at 1:30 AM CT
Vikings team intelligence
The Vikings: what our research says
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Lions game.
Minnesota reaches Detroit at 6-0, with a 3-0 home record and a 3-0 road record. Its latest win was 16-10 over Indianapolis. Brian Flores’ defense leads the league in points allowed. Blake Cashman supplied tackles, sacks and pass breakups against the Colts. Harrison Smith ended their final possession with an interception.
Right nowLost last game
Minnesota is 6-0, including a 3-0 home record and a 3-0 road record. Its six wins are over Green Bay, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Miami, New Orleans and Indianapolis. The defense has been the team’s most consistent unit; the offense has had uneven stretches, including a 16-10 win over the Colts.
The market
- Vikings spread+2.5 → +3.5
- Total46.5 → 46
- Kalshi, Vikings to win39¢
- The market gives the Vikings about a 39% chance to win. A contract that pays $1 if they win costs 39¢. In sportsbook odds, that is about +156. Kalshi price at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3.
The news
Murray and the run-pass balance
Kyler Murray remains the starting quarterback, and Minnesota’s passing attack is adjusting around him. The Vikings have used an even run-pass split, while their defense and special teams have contributed heavily in close wins.
Backfield and roster changes
Jordan Mason returned from injured reserve before the Colts game, and DeeJay Dallas was elevated to the active roster on October 31. Minnesota reportedly explored running back and tight end additions, but no completed trade was reported.
Tight-end depth without Oliver
Josh Oliver is on injured reserve after a torn biceps and is expected to miss the rest of the regular season. Bryson Nesbit and Devin Culp joined the practice squad, adding depth behind T.J. Hockenson, Gavin Bartholomew and Ben Yurosek.
Injuries
Vikings
- Jay WardQuestionable
- Jamal AdamsOut
- Tyler BattyOut
- Donovan JacksonOut
- Josh OliverOut
- Nick SamacOut
- Michael BriscoeOut
Bills
- Kerby JosephOut
- Roger McCrearyQuestionable
- Isiah PachecoOut
- Ben BartchOut
- Devin WhiteOut
- Tom KennedyOut
- Avonte MaddoxOut
- Payton TurnerOut
- +4 more
The matchup
Vikings projected starters
- Kyler MurrayQB
- Jordan MasonRB
- Justin JeffersonWR
- Jordan AddisonWR
- Jauan JenningsWR
- T.J. HockensonTE
- Max BredesonFB
- Christian DarrisawLT
- Joe HuberLG
- Blake BrandelC
- Will FriesRG
- Brian O’NeillRT
- Levi Drake RodriguezLDE
- Caleb BanksNT
- Jalen RedmondRDE
- Andrew Van GinkelWLB
- Eric WilsonLILB
- Blake CashmanRILB
- Dallas TurnerSLB
- Isaiah RodgersLCB
- Joshua MetellusSS
- Harrison SmithFS
- James PierreRCB
- Byron Murphy Jr.NB
Bills projected starters
- Jared GoffQB
- Jahmyr GibbsRB
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWR
- Jameson WilliamsWR
- Isaac TeSlaaWR
- Sam LaPortaTE
- Penei SewellLT
- Christian MahoganyLG
- Cade MaysC
- Tate RatledgeRG
- Blake MillerRT
- Aidan HutchinsonLDE
- Alim McNeillLDT
- Tyleik WilliamsRDT
- Tyler LacyRDE
- Derrick BarnesWLB
- Jack CampbellMLB
- Malcolm RodriguezSLB
- D.J. ReedLCB
- Chuck ClarkSS
- Brian BranchFS
- Ennis Rakestraw Jr.RCB
- Roger McCrearyNB
Updated The full read
02
Bills at Vikings odds and prediction markets
Sportsbook prices at 1:30 AM CTPrices as of : the Vikings are +3 to +3.5 at five sportsbooks and the total is 45.5–46.5.
WagerBird earns a commission when you sign up through a sportsbook link on this page. That does not change the prices shown or which one is marked best. Offers are for new customers in states where each sportsbook is licensed; terms apply at the sportsbook.
Prediction markets
Prices at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3Kalshi and Polymarket on Bills at Vikings
Vikings to win costs 39¢ on Kalshi, against +160 at the best sportsbook (DraftKings). A Yes price in cents is the market’s chance in percent; Kalshi’s trading fee is extra.
| Market | Kalshi | Polymarket | Best sportsbook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings to win | 39¢39% chance | 40¢40% chance | +160DraftKings |
| Bills to win | 66¢66% chance | 65¢65% chance | −172FanDuel |
| Vikings +3.5 | 56¢56% chance | 55¢55% chance | +3.5 −118DraftKings |
Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Spread | Money line | Total | Sign up | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | Bills | Vikings | Bills | Over | Under | ||
| FanDuel | +3−105 | −3−115 | +144 | −172 | o46.5−104 | u46.5−118 | Sign up |
| DraftKingsClaim the DraftKings new-customer offer | +3.5−118 | −3.5−102 | +160 | −192 | o45.5−115 | u45.5−105 | Sign up |
| BetMGMNJ MI PA WV: Bet $10 Get $150. All other states: $1500 Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win Code WAGERBIRD1 | +3.5−118 | −3.5−102 | +155 | −190 | o46−110 | u46−108 | Sign up |
| CaesarsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Wagers Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost Code WBIRD1DYW | +3.5−118 | −3.5−102 | +149 | −176 | o46−113 | u46−107 | Sign up |
| FanaticsNew Customers Get Up To $1,000 Matched In FanCash | +3.5−120 | −3.5+100 | +150 | −180 | o46.5−110 | u46.5−110 | Sign up |
BestGreen is the best price at the same line among these five sportsbooks. Prices as of 1:30 AM CT; they move until the start, and each sportsbook shows its live price before you confirm.
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03
Our Vikings picks, graded
How we workReleased
before kickoff, price locked at release
Locked
price and line at release, never changed
Graded
against the closing line
04
Results and against the spread
6–1 · 3–3 ATSRecord
6–1
Against the spread
3–3
Form, last 5
WWWWL
Last game
L 15-19at Lions
| Date | Game | Result | Spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11/1 | at Detroit Lions | L 15-19 | +3.5 | Missed |
| Sun 10/25 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 16-10 | −7 | Missed |
| Sun 10/11 | at New Orleans Saints | W 23-13 | −2.5 | Covered |
| Sun 10/4 | vs Miami Dolphins | W 15-10 | −9.5 | Missed |
| Sun 9/27 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23-16 | −1.5 | Covered |
Spread is the Vikings’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.
05
The full read on the Vikings
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Lions game.
Season so far
Minnesota is 6-0, including a 3-0 home record and a 3-0 road record. Its six wins are over Green Bay, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Miami, New Orleans and Indianapolis. The defense has been the team’s most consistent unit; the offense has had uneven stretches, including a 16-10 win over the Colts.
The read
Minnesota reaches Detroit at 6-0, with a 3-0 home record and a 3-0 road record. Its latest win was 16-10 over Indianapolis. Brian Flores’ defense leads the league in points allowed. Blake Cashman supplied tackles, sacks and pass breakups against the Colts. Harrison Smith ended their final possession with an interception.
Kevin O’Connell’s offense has been less consistent. Kyler Murray threw for 150 yards against Indianapolis, while his scrambling helped create the touchdown to T.J. Hockenson. The passing game is adjusting to Murray, and Minnesota has used an even run-pass split. Will Reichard’s kicking has been important in low-scoring wins, including the 15-10 result against Miami.
The backfield has changed again with Jordan Mason back from injured reserve. Aaron Jones finished the practice week without a game designation after aggravating his knee against Indianapolis. DeeJay Dallas was elevated for Detroit. Tight-end depth has also changed: Josh Oliver is expected to miss the rest of the regular season, and Bryson Nesbit and Devin Culp joined the practice squad.
The latest defensive availability question is Jay Ward’s knee. Detroit is a divisional road assignment against a 4-2 team. Minnesota’s projected lineup includes its established receivers and starting tackles. Joe Huber remains listed at left guard ahead of injured reserve player Donovan Jackson.
Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →
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Vikings questions, answered
Is there a Vikings pick tonight?
Yes. Our Vikings pick for Bills at Vikings was released before kickoff at Signal strength 99. Unlock it in the Terminal.
What is the Vikings' record this season?
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-0: 3-0 at home and 3-0 on the road.
Who is on the Vikings injury report?
The Vikings list Joe Huber (Available), Aaron Jones, Sr. (Available), Brian O’Neill (Available), Gavin Bartholomew (Available), Christian Darrisaw (Available), Harrison Smith (Available), Jay Ward (Questionable), Jamal Adams (Out), Tyler Batty (Out), Donovan Jackson (Out), Josh Oliver (Out), Nick Samac (Out), Michael Briscoe (Out).