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NFL · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: MIN +5 → +3 (-2.0 pts)

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 43 books
MIN +3 (28 consensus books · 43 tracked)
Market Move
GB -5 to -3 (2.0 pts toward MIN)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIN 41.4% · GB 58.6%
Consensus Spread
GB -3
Consensus Total
42
Market-Implied Score
MIN 19.5 – GB 22.5

Market Brief: MIN @ GB Spread

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIN +3 -101 / GB -3 +101 across 28 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN +3 -108 at ProphetX; GB -3 +104 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET), the line moved from MIN +5 to MIN +3 (2.0 pts) across 43 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIN @ GB spread consensus line and best price per side?

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIN +3 -101 / GB -3 +101 across 28 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN +3 -108 at ProphetX; GB -3 +104 at ProphetX.

How has the MIN @ GB spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET), the line moved from MIN +5 to MIN +3 (2.0 pts) across 43 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIN @ GB spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIN @ GB spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward MIN across 24 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus moved from MIN +3.5 to MIN +3 across 36 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MIN
Vig-free consensus +3 -101 (50.3% across 28 books)
Best price: +3 -108 at ProphetX
GB
Vig-free consensus -3 +101 (49.7% across 28 books)
Best price: -3 +104 at ProphetX

MIN @ GB Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMINGBExecution
BetMGM+3-112-3-105BetMGM
Caesars+3-110-3-110Caesars
DraftKings+3-115-3-105DraftKings
FanDuel+3-110-3-110FanDuel
Fanatics+3-115-3-105Fanatics
ProphetX+3-108-3+104ProphetX

Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus MIN +3. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIN @ GB Spread

The Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers spread opened at GB -5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 1:00 PM ET) and currently sits at GB -3 across 43 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward MIN. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 2:29 PM ET, 24 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MIN by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers spread.

At Wed, Nov 11, 2:30 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 3, shifting from MIN +3.5 to MIN +3 toward MIN. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 3 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

Across the 43 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 28-book consensus prices MIN at +3 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and GB at -3 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIN +3 -108 at ProphetX; GB -3 +104 at ProphetX.

In the NFL spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 11 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 9 (23 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date113923
Last 30 days92718

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/minnesota-vikings-at-green-bay-packers-spread-2026-11-15-35408" title="Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/minnesota-vikings-at-green-bay-packers-spread-2026-11-15-35408">MIN @ GB Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>