By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Sportsbooks have posted Norman Powell's assists line at 1.5 for CHI @ TOR (Oct 21). WagerBird's modeled fair line for CHI @ TOR is 2.4 (-224).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI @ TOR | 1.5 (-157) | — | 1 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 1 licensed partner sportsbook. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Insufficient 6-game box-score history to measure book step-lag.
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · @ TOR | 1.5 | — | 1 | -0.5 |
Powell needs only a small number of successful creation possessions within a substantial starting workload.
2.5 AST · 29.6 MIN — Powell averaged 2.5 assists in 29.6 minutes last season. His scoring threat can draw a second defender and create immediate kick-outs without requiring him to operate as a full-time point guard.
30 PROJECTED MIN · 2.4 PROJECTED AST — Powell appeared in Chicago's last preseason starting group. A substantial stint provides several chances to turn scoring pressure into a teammate's shot, while the assist forecast remains below his previous-season average.
The scoring wing can finish his drives himself instead of passing out of help. Other guards can control initiation while he remains a catch-and-shoot option. A low team scoring total can leave too few converted baskets from his passes.
Settlement Rule: CASHES NORMAN POWELL OVER 1.5 ASSISTS AT TWO OR MORE; NO PUSH IS POSSIBLE.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Chicago Bulls's 5 primary contributors.
| Chicago Bulls Contributor | Oct 28 vs NYK | Oct 30 @ BOS | Nov 2 @ PHI | Nov 4 @ NYK | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell CHI · Points | 18.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Matas Buzelis CHI · Points | 13.5 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Josh Giddey CHI · Points | 10.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11.5 | -1.0 | Trending Down ↓ | |
| Jalen Smith CHI · Points | 10.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Leonard Miller CHI · Points | 9.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | — | 0.0 | Flat → |
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Norman Powell prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | CHI @ TOR | Assists | Over 1.5 (-157) · DraftKings | 1.5 | 1 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Powell needs only a small number of successful creation possessions within a substantial starting workload.
Counter-Case: The scoring wing can finish his drives himself instead of passing out of help. Other guards can control initiation while he remains a catch-and-shoot option. A low team scoring total can leave too few converted baskets from his passes.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |