Leonard Miller (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 23 to Nov 2), sportsbooks adjusted Leonard Miller's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 9.5 to 7.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Leonard Miller)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI @ MIL | 9.5 (+105) | — | 19 | Over | |
| WAS @ CHI | 10.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 7 | Under | |
| CHI @ BOS | 9.5 (+104) | -1.0 | 9 | Under | |
| NYK @ CHI | 9.5 (-106) | 0.0 | 10 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 8.5 (-113) | -1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| CHI @ PHI | 7.5 (-122) | -1.0 | 2 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Leonard Miller Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-1.3).
- Window Open Line
- 9.5
- Current Posted Line
- 7.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 8.2
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 · @ MIL | 9.5 | — | 19 | +9.5 |
| Oct 24 · vs WAS | 10.5 | +1.0 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Oct 26 · @ BOS | 9.5 | -1.0 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs NYK | 9.5 | 0.0 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BOS | 8.5 | -1.0 | 2 | -6.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ PHI | 7.5 | -1.0 | 2 | -5.5 |
Leonard Miller Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Leonard Miller.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Leonard Miller.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |