Why is the NOP @ GSW moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 56 books
- NOP +436 (56 consensus books · 56 tracked)
- Market Move
- GSW 79.7% to 85.4% (5.7% implied probability toward GSW)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)
Why is the NOP @ GSW moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward GSW across 25 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market consensus updated (5.3% implied probability) toward GSW across 56 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NOP @ GSW Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | NOP | GSW | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +425 | -600 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +430 | -600 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +426 | -569 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +430 | -590 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +420 | -588 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +465 | -490 | ProphetX |
Full market: 56 sportsbooks, consensus NOP +436. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NOP @ GSW Moneyline
The New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors moneyline opened at 79.7% implied probability for GSW on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 85.4% implied probability for GSW across 56 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 5.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward GSW. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 4:56 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 2:48 PM CT, 25 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward GSW by a median of 2.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors moneyline.
As of Mon, Nov 9, 3:53 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.3% toward GSW across 56 tracked sportsbooks. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 56 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 56-book consensus prices NOP at +436 (18.7% vig-free probability) and GSW at -436 (81.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NOP +465 at ProphetX; GSW -490 at ProphetX.
In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% |
| Last 30 days | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-moneyline-2026-11-09-34493" title="New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-moneyline-2026-11-09-34493">NOP @ GSW Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>