Trey Murphy III (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Trey Murphy III's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 17.5 to 15.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Trey Murphy III)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN @ NOP | 17.5 (-103) | — | 6 | Under | |
| SAC @ NOP | 19.5 (+100) | +2.0 | 19 | Under | |
| ATL @ NOP | 17.5 (-104) | -2.0 | 15 | Under | |
| NOP @ MEM | 17.5 (-115) | 0.0 | 18 | Over | |
| UTA @ NOP | 17.5 (+100) | 0.0 | — | — | |
| MIN @ NOP | 15.5 (+104) | -2.0 | 10 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Trey Murphy III Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.9 actual output delta (-1.9 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 17.5
- Current Posted Line
- 15.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 13.6
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs DEN | 17.5 | — | 6 | -11.5 |
| Oct 29 · vs SAC | 19.5 | +2.0 | 19 | -0.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs ATL | 17.5 | -2.0 | 15 | -2.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ MEM | 17.5 | 0.0 | 18 | +0.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs UTA | 17.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
| Nov 6 · vs MIN | 15.5 | -2.0 | 10 | -5.5 |
Trey Murphy III Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Trey Murphy III.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Trey Murphy III.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |