Brandon Williams (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 23 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Brandon Williams's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 9.5 to 8.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Brandon Williams)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM @ GSW | 9.5 (+114) | — | 4 | Under | |
| GSW @ PHX | 16.5 (-108) | +7.0 | 20 | Over | |
| GSW @ DEN | 11.5 (+100) | -5.0 | 6 | Under | |
| LAC @ GSW | 13.5 (-108) | +2.0 | 17 | Over | |
| MIA @ GSW(Missed 1g) | 9.5 (-115) | -4.0 | 10 | Over | |
| NOP @ GSW | 8.5 (-128) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Brandon Williams Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +1.9 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+2.9 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 9.5
- Current Posted Line
- 8.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.4
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 · vs MEM | 9.5 | — | 4 | -5.5 |
| Oct 24 · @ PHX | 16.5 | +7.0 | 20 | +3.5 |
| Oct 26 · @ DEN | 11.5 | -5.0 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Nov 1 · vs LAC | 13.5 | +2.0 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs MIA | 9.5 | -4.0 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Nov 9 · vs NOP | 8.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Brandon Williams Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Brandon Williams.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Brandon Williams.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 8 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 10 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |