NBA · Home Team TotalFinal · Settled

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs: Home Team Total closing line and CLV

Prices as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:04 AM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Fri, Nov 13, 1:40 AM ET · Updated Sat, Nov 14, 12:14 AM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: 115.25 (opened 116.5)
Market Move: 116.5 to 115.3 (1.3 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: GSW 11.9% · SAS 88.1%
Consensus Spread: SAS -34.5
Consensus Total: 209.5
Market-Implied Score: GSW 87.5 – SAS 122

Market Brief: GSW @ SAS Home Team Total

Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 115.25 after opening at 116.5 (16 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA team totals): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8.

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 116.5 to 115.3 toward Under (1.3 pts) across 16 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 115.25 (opened 116.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the GSW @ SAS home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the GSW @ SAS home team total move from open to close?

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 116.5 to 115.3 toward Under (1.3 pts) across 16 sportsbooks.

What was the GSW @ SAS home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 115.25 (opened 116.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

Pre-Game Market Preview Archive: GSW @ SAS

GSW @ SAS Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: 115.25 (opened 116.5).

Full market: 3 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The Home Team Total opened 116.5 and closed 115.25 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no Home Team Total release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	12	1	3	16
Last 30 days	12	1	3	16

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-san-antonio-spurs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-35009" title="Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-san-antonio-spurs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-35009">GSW @ SAS Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ SAS · Points

GSW @ SAS · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–3) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 3 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-8.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 92.6 vs. 101.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
51.5	55.6%	92.6	101.5 (-108)	-8.9

Compare GSW Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 101.5 (O -114)DraftKings 101.5 (O -108)BetMGM 101.5 (O -110)Caesars 101.5 (O -115)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Yaxel Lendeborg GSW · Prev 17.5 (+4.0)	21.5	25.5%	21.2%(-4.3% vs Hist)	+3.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Brandin Podziemski GSW · Prev 14.5 (+3.0)	17.5	19.5%	17.2%(-2.3% vs Hist)	+3.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 De'Anthony Melton GSW · Prev 8.5 (+4.0)	12.5	10.6%	12.3%(+1.7% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift

Golden State Warriors (GSW)Team Tide Shift

-8.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 92.6 vs. 101.5 Posted Team Total)

San Antonio Spurs (SAS)Team Tide Shift

-13.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 101.5 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Golden State Warriors team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ SAS · Points

GSW @ SAS · San Antonio Spurs WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across San Antonio Spurs's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

SAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-13.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 101.5 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
93.0	91.6%	101.5	114.5 (-112)	-13.0

Compare SAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 114.5 (O -112)DraftKings 114.5 (O -115)BetMGM 115.5 (O -110)Caesars 114.5 (O -120)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Victor Wembanyama SAS · Prev 29.5 (-2.0)	27.5	31.1%	24.0%(-7.1% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Dylan Harper SAS · Prev 17.5 (-1.0)	16.5	16.7%	14.4%(-2.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Stephon Castle SAS · Prev 16.5 (-1.0)	15.5	12.9%	13.5%(+0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 De'Aaron Fox SAS · Prev 13.5 (0.0)	13.5	11.3%	11.8%(+0.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#5 Devin Vassell SAS · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	12.3%	9.2%(-3.1% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#6 Keldon Johnson SAS · Prev 11.5 (-2.0)	9.5	7.3%	8.3%(+1.0% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

San Antonio Spurs team page →

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: GSW @ SAS Home Team Total

What was the GSW @ SAS home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the GSW @ SAS home team total move from open to close?

What was the GSW @ SAS home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-Game Market Preview Archive: GSW @ SAS

GSW @ SAS Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

GSW @ SAS · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–3) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ SAS · San Antonio Spurs WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ SAS · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–3) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ SAS · San Antonio Spurs WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Fri, Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)