Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 11 books
- 30.5 (7 consensus books · 11 tracked)
- Market Move
- 30.5 to 30.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- WAKE 49.6% · SMU 50.4%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -1.5
- Consensus Total
- 61.5
- Market-Implied Score
- WAKE 30 – SMU 31.5
Market Brief: WAKE @ SMU Home Team Total
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 30.5 -105 / Under 30.5 +105 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 30.5 -120 at DraftKings; Under 31.5 -125 at BetMGM.
The line is unchanged since open (30.5) across 11 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
What is the WAKE @ SMU home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 30.5 -105 / Under 30.5 +105 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 30.5 -120 at DraftKings; Under 31.5 -125 at BetMGM.
How has the WAKE @ SMU home team total moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (30.5) across 11 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for WAKE @ SMU home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
Why is the WAKE @ SMU Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
WAKE @ SMU Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus 30.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: WAKE @ SMU Home Team Total
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total opened at 30.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 30.5 across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total.
Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 30.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 30.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 30.5 -120 at DraftKings; Under 31.5 -125 at BetMGM.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27495" title="Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27495">WAKE @ SMU Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>