Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 16 books
- WAKE +105 (16 consensus books · 16 tracked)
- Market Move
- SMU 54.1% to 54.5% (0.4% implied probability toward SMU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- WAKE 49.9% · SMU 50.1%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -1
- Consensus Total
- 61.5
- Market-Implied Score
- WAKE 30.3 – SMU 31.3
Market Brief: WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Moneyline
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at WAKE +105 / SMU -105 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:14 PM ET). Best price per side: WAKE +106 at FanDuel; SMU -115 at DraftKings.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 54.1% to 54.5% toward SMU (0.4% implied probability) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
What is the WAKE @ SMU 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at WAKE +105 / SMU -105 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:14 PM ET). Best price per side: WAKE +106 at FanDuel; SMU -115 at DraftKings.
How has the WAKE @ SMU 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 54.1% to 54.5% toward SMU (0.4% implied probability) across 16 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for WAKE @ SMU 1st half moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
Why is the WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward SMU across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus WAKE +105. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Moneyline
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half moneyline opened at 54.1% implied probability for SMU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 54.5% implied probability for SMU across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward SMU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:14 PM ET.
At Tue, Nov 10, 12:13 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMU by a median of 2.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half moneyline.
Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices WAKE at +105 (48.8% vig-free probability) and SMU at -105 (51.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAKE +106 at FanDuel; SMU -115 at DraftKings.
In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27495" title="Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27495">WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>