Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 11 books
- 35.5 (6 consensus books · 11 tracked)
- Market Move
- 35.5 to 35 (0.5 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- FRES 25.3% · TXST 74.7%
- Consensus Spread
- TXST -9.5
- Consensus Total
- 59.5
- Market-Implied Score
- FRES 25 – TXST 34.5
Market Brief: FRES @ TXST Home Team Total
Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 35.5 +103 / Under 35.5 -103 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 34.5 -125 at DraftKings; Under 35.5 -125 at Fanatics.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 35.5 to 35 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET).
What is the FRES @ TXST home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 35.5 +103 / Under 35.5 -103 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 34.5 -125 at DraftKings; Under 35.5 -125 at Fanatics.
How has the FRES @ TXST home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 35.5 to 35 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 12 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for FRES @ TXST home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET).
Why is the FRES @ TXST Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
FRES @ TXST Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus 35.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: FRES @ TXST Home Team Total
The Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Texas State Bobcats team total opened at 35.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 35 across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:02 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 6:44 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Texas State Bobcats team total.
Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Texas State Bobcats team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 6-book consensus prices Over at 35.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 35.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 34.5 -125 at DraftKings; Under 35.5 -125 at Fanatics.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27510" title="Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27510">FRES @ TXST Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>