Why is the WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 14 books
- WAKE +0.5 (9 consensus books · 14 tracked)
- Market Move
- SMU -0.5 to -0.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-half spreads: 18 Beat / 5 Tied / 9 Lost (32 measured)
Why is the WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward SMU across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | WAKE | SMU | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +0.5-112 | -0.5-105 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +1.5-130 | -1.5+106 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +1.5-125 | -1.5+105 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +1.5-122 | -1.5+100 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +0.5-120 | -0.5-110 | Fanatics |
Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus WAKE +0.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Spread
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half spread opened at SMU -0.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:15 AM CT) and currently sits at SMU -0.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 12:55 PM CT.
At Tue, Nov 10, 11:05 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half spread.
Across the 14 sportsbooks currently quoting the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices WAKE at +0.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and SMU at -0.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAKE +1.5 -122 at FanDuel; SMU -0.5 -105 at BetMGM.
In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 18 times, tied 5, and lost 9 season to date (32 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (18 Beat, 5 Tied, 9 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 18 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 66.7% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 77.8% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (1st Half Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27495" title="Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27495">WAKE @ SMU 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>