Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 40 books
- WAKE +1 (15 consensus books · 40 tracked)
- Market Move
- SMU +1 to -1 (2.0 pts toward SMU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 54 (150 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- WAKE 49.9% · SMU 50.1%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -1
- Consensus Total
- 61.5
- Market-Implied Score
- WAKE 30.3 – SMU 31.3
Market Brief: WAKE @ SMU Spread
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at WAKE +1 -101 / SMU -1 +101 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:22 PM ET). Best price per side: WAKE +1.5 -111 at ProphetX; SMU -1 -108 at BetMGM.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from SMU +1 to SMU -1 (2.0 pts) across 40 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
What is the WAKE @ SMU spread consensus line and best price per side?
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ SMU Mustangs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at WAKE +1 -101 / SMU -1 +101 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:22 PM ET). Best price per side: WAKE +1.5 -111 at ProphetX; SMU -1 -108 at BetMGM.
How has the WAKE @ SMU spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from SMU +1 to SMU -1 (2.0 pts) across 40 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for WAKE @ SMU spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).
Why is the WAKE @ SMU spread moving?
- Market line moved 2.5 pts toward SMU across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 2.0 pts toward WAKE across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
WAKE @ SMU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 40 sportsbooks, consensus WAKE +1. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: WAKE @ SMU Spread
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs spread opened at SMU +1 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at SMU -1 across 40 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward SMU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:22 PM ET.
At Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 PM ET, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMU by a median of 2.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs spread.
At Tue, Nov 10, 8:29 PM ET, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward WAKE by a median of 2.0 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs spread.
Across the 40 sportsbooks currently quoting the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices WAKE at +1 -101 (50.1% vig-free probability) and SMU at -1 +101 (49.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAKE +1.5 -111 at ProphetX; SMU -1 -108 at BetMGM.
In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 54 (150 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 61.2% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 54 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 10
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-spread-2026-11-14-27495" title="Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/wake-forest-demon-deacons-at-smu-mustangs-spread-2026-11-14-27495">WAKE @ SMU Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>