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CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
BAY +4.5 (16 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
BYU -4.5 to -4.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BAY 29.0% · BYU 71.0%
Consensus Spread
BYU -7.5
Consensus Total
48.5
Market-Implied Score
BAY 20.5 – BYU 28

Market Brief: BAY @ BYU 1st Half Spread

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BAY +4.5 -105 / BYU -4.5 +105 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET). Best price per side: BAY +4.5 -112 at DraftKings; BYU -4.5 +100 at BetMGM.

The line is unchanged since open (BYU -4.5) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the BAY @ BYU 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BAY +4.5 -105 / BYU -4.5 +105 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET). Best price per side: BAY +4.5 -112 at DraftKings; BYU -4.5 +100 at BetMGM.

How has the BAY @ BYU 1st half spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (BYU -4.5) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BAY @ BYU 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the BAY @ BYU 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward BYU across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

BAY
Vig-free consensus +4.5 -105 (51.1% across 16 books)
Best price: +4.5 -112 at DraftKings
BYU
Vig-free consensus -4.5 +105 (48.9% across 16 books)
Best price: -4.5 +100 at BetMGM

BAY @ BYU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookBAYBYUExecution
BetMGM+4.5-118-4.5+100BetMGM
Caesars+4.5-114-4.5-108Caesars
DraftKings+4.5-112-4.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel+4.5-122-4.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics+4.5-120-4.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX+4.5-129-4.5-107ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus BAY +4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: BAY @ BYU 1st Half Spread

The Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half spread opened at BYU -4.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET) and currently sits at BYU -4.5 across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 1:08 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BYU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half spread.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices BAY at +4.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and BYU at -4.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BAY +4.5 -112 at DraftKings; BYU -4.5 +100 at BetMGM.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27494" title="Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27494">BAY @ BYU 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>