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CFB · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IU (+2.6% implied prob)

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 13 books
USC +162 (13 consensus books · 13 tracked)
Market Move
IU 63.0% to 65.5% (2.6% implied probability toward IU)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
USC 24.5% · IU 75.5%
Consensus Spread
IU -10
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
USC 20.3 – IU 30.3

Market Brief: USC @ IU 1st Quarter Moneyline

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USC +162 / IU -162 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:51 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +154 at FanDuel; IU -180 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 63.0% to 65.5% toward IU (2.6% implied probability) across 13 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the USC @ IU 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USC +162 / IU -162 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:51 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +154 at FanDuel; IU -180 at FanDuel.

How has the USC @ IU 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 63.0% to 65.5% toward IU (2.6% implied probability) across 13 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for USC @ IU 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the USC @ IU 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (4.0% implied probability) toward IU across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USC
Vig-free consensus +162 (38.2% across 13 books)
Best price: +154 at FanDuel
IU
Vig-free consensus -162 (61.8% across 13 books)
Best price: -180 at FanDuel

USC @ IU 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSCIUExecution
BetMGM+150-200BetMGM
Caesars+146-190Caesars
DraftKings+150-195DraftKings
FanDuel+154-180FanDuel
Fanatics+150-200Fanatics

Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus USC +162. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USC @ IU 1st Quarter Moneyline

The USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-quarter moneyline opened at 63.0% implied probability for IU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 65.5% implied probability for IU across 13 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward IU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:51 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:29 PM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IU by a median of 4.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 13-book consensus prices USC at +162 (38.2% vig-free probability) and IU at -162 (61.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USC +154 at FanDuel; IU -180 at FanDuel.

Every CFB first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27504" title="USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27504">USC @ IU 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>