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CFB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IU (+5.1% implied prob)

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 45 books
USC +308 (45 consensus books · 45 tracked)
Market Move
IU 74.1% to 79.2% (5.1% implied probability toward IU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
USC 24.5% · IU 75.5%
Consensus Spread
IU -10
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
USC 20.3 – IU 30.3

Market Brief: USC @ IU Moneyline

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USC +308 / IU -308 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +320 at ProphetX; IU -350 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 74.1% to 79.2% toward IU (5.1% implied probability) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the USC @ IU moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USC +308 / IU -308 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +320 at ProphetX; IU -350 at ProphetX.

How has the USC @ IU moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 74.1% to 79.2% toward IU (5.1% implied probability) across 45 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for USC @ IU moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the USC @ IU moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward IU across 15 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus updated (5.1% implied probability) toward IU across 44 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USC
Vig-free consensus +308 (24.5% across 45 books)
Best price: +320 at ProphetX
IU
Vig-free consensus -308 (75.5% across 45 books)
Best price: -350 at ProphetX

USC @ IU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSCIUExecution
BetMGM+300-375BetMGM
Caesars+290-380Caesars
DraftKings+300-380DraftKings
FanDuel+290-375FanDuel
Fanatics+290-370Fanatics
ProphetX+320-350ProphetX

Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus USC +308. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USC @ IU Moneyline

The USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers moneyline opened at 74.1% implied probability for IU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 79.2% implied probability for IU across 45 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 5.1% implied probability, with net market movement toward IU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET, 15 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IU by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers moneyline.

As of Wed, Nov 11, 3:45 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.1% toward IU across 44 tracked sportsbooks. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 10.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 45-book consensus prices USC at +308 (24.5% vig-free probability) and IU at -308 (75.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USC +320 at ProphetX; IU -350 at ProphetX.

In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 19 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 7

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1951943
Last 30 days1521330

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27504" title="USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27504">USC @ IU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>