ENES
CFB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 49.5 → 48.5 (-1.0 pts)

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 33 books
48.5 (19 consensus books · 33 tracked)
Market Move
49.5 to 48.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 95 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (149 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BAY 29.0% · BYU 71.0%
Consensus Spread
BYU -7.5
Consensus Total
48.5
Market-Implied Score
BAY 20.5 – BYU 28

Market Brief: BAY @ BYU Total

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 48.5 -103 / Under 48.5 +103 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:50 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 48.5 -112 at BetMGM; Under 49.5 -110 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET), the line moved from 49.5 to 48.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 36 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the BAY @ BYU total consensus line and best price per side?

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 48.5 -103 / Under 48.5 +103 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:50 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 48.5 -112 at BetMGM; Under 49.5 -110 at FanDuel.

How has the BAY @ BYU total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET), the line moved from 49.5 to 48.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 36 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BAY @ BYU total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the BAY @ BYU total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 10 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 48.5 -103 (50.7% across 19 books)
Best price: 48.5 -112 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 48.5 +103 (49.3% across 19 books)
Best price: 49.5 -110 at FanDuel

BAY @ BYU Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM48.5-11248.5-105BetMGM
Caesars49.5-10549.5-115Caesars
DraftKings48.5-11548.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel49.5-11049.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics48.5-11548.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX49.5+10449.5-115ProphetX

Full market: 33 sportsbooks, consensus 48.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: BAY @ BYU Total

The Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars total opened at 49.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 48.5 across 36 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:50 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars total.

Across the 33 sportsbooks currently quoting the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices Over at 48.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 48.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 48.5 -112 at BetMGM; Under 49.5 -110 at FanDuel.

In the CFB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 95 · At the close: 8 · Behind close: 46 (149 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.1% of moved lines ahead of close (94 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 10

Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 13–Nov 10): 59-47, +24.3u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date95846149
Last 30 days67436107

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-total-2026-11-14-27494" title="Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-total-2026-11-14-27494">BAY @ BYU Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>