Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats: moneyline closing line and CLV
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Closing Consensus
- TXST -430 (opened -370)
- Market Move
- TXST 78.7% to 81.1% (2.4% implied probability toward TXST)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 20 (44 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- FRES 24.9% · TXST 75.1%
- Consensus Spread
- TXST +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 72.5
- Market-Implied Score
- FRES 38 – TXST 34.5
Market Brief: FRES @ TXST Moneyline
Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Moneyline: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at TXST -430 after opening at TXST -370 (45 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB moneylines): 49.0% of moved lines ahead of close (25 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 26 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 14.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.7% to 81.1% toward TXST (2.4% implied probability) across 45 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: TXST -430 (opened -370). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
What was the FRES @ TXST moneyline closing and opening consensus line?
Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Moneyline: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at TXST -430 after opening at TXST -370 (45 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB moneylines): 49.0% of moved lines ahead of close (25 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 26 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 14.
How did the FRES @ TXST moneyline move from open to close?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.7% to 81.1% toward TXST (2.4% implied probability) across 45 sportsbooks.
What was the FRES @ TXST moneyline release result and closing consensus?
Pre-kickoff closing consensus: TXST -430 (opened -370). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
FRES @ TXST Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 27 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus
TXST moneyline opened -370 and closed -430 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)
WAGERBIRD had no moneyline release on this game.
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 49.0% of moved lines ahead of close (25 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 26 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 14
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 49% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-moneyline-2026-11-14-27510" title="Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-moneyline-2026-11-14-27510">FRES @ TXST Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>