CFB · 1st Half SpreadFinal · Settled

Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats: 1st Half Spread closing line and CLV

Prices as of Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET · Updated Sat, Nov 14, 7:38 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: TXST -7 (opened TXST -6.5)
Market Move: TXST -6.5 to -7 (0.5 pts toward TXST)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 10 (33 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: FRES 24.9% · TXST 75.1%
Consensus Spread: TXST +3.5
Consensus Total: 72.5
Market-Implied Score: FRES 38 – TXST 34.5

Market Brief: FRES @ TXST 1st Half Spread

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats 1st Half Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at TXST -7 after opening at TXST -6.5 (23 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB first-half spreads): 64.3% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 10 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 12.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from TXST -6.5 to TXST -7 (0.5 pts) across 23 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: TXST -7 (opened TXST -6.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the FRES @ TXST 1st half spread closing and opening consensus line?

How did the FRES @ TXST 1st half spread move from open to close?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from TXST -6.5 to TXST -7 (0.5 pts) across 23 sportsbooks.

What was the FRES @ TXST 1st half spread release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: TXST -7 (opened TXST -6.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

FRES @ TXST 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: TXST -7 (opened TXST -6.5).

Full market: 0 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

TXST opened -6.5 and closed -7 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no 1st Half Spread release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 64.3% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 10 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 12

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	18	5	10	33
Last 30 days	7	0	3	10

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 64% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27510" title="Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27510">FRES @ TXST 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>