ENES
CFB · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff Market Move: TXST -9.5 → -9.8 (-0.3 pts)

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Sun, Nov 8, 11:38 AM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 37 books
FRES +10 (18 consensus books · 37 tracked)
Market Move
TXST -9.5 to -9.8 (0.3 pts toward TXST)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 84 · At close: 11 · Behind: 53 (148 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
FRES 25.0% · TXST 75.0%
Consensus Spread
TXST -10
Consensus Total
60.5
Market-Implied Score
FRES 25.3 – TXST 35.3

Market Brief: FRES @ TXST Spread

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FRES +10 -103 / TXST -10 +103 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (37 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET). Best price per side: FRES +10 -114 at Caesars; TXST -9.5 -108 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from TXST -9.5 to TXST -9.8 (0.3 pts) across 38 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the FRES @ TXST spread consensus line and best price per side?

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FRES +10 -103 / TXST -10 +103 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (37 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET). Best price per side: FRES +10 -114 at Caesars; TXST -9.5 -108 at BetMGM.

How has the FRES @ TXST spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from TXST -9.5 to TXST -9.8 (0.3 pts) across 38 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for FRES @ TXST spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the FRES @ TXST spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from TXST -9.5 to TXST -10 across 18 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward TXST across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus moved from FRES +10 to FRES +9.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

FRES
Vig-free consensus +10 -103 (50.6% across 18 books)
Best price: +10 -114 at Caesars
TXST
Vig-free consensus -10 +103 (49.4% across 18 books)
Best price: -9.5 -108 at BetMGM

FRES @ TXST Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookFRESTXSTExecution
BetMGM+9.5-110-9.5-108BetMGM
Caesars+10-114-10-106Caesars
DraftKings+10-115-10-105DraftKings
FanDuel+9.5-105-9.5-115FanDuel
Fanatics+9.5-105-9.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX+9.5+106-9.5-118ProphetX

Full market: 37 sportsbooks, consensus FRES +10. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: FRES @ TXST Spread

Across 37 tracked sportsbooks, the FRES @ TXST spread moved from an opening number of TXST -9.5 to TXST -9.8 (0.3 pts).

Best current licensed partner quotes: FRES +10 -114 at Caesars; TXST -9.5 -108 at BetMGM. Quoting books currently span 3.0 pts across the market.

CFB Spreads Closing-Line Timing

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date841153148
Last 30 days5543190

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-09). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-spread-2026-11-14-27510" title="Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-spread-2026-11-14-27510">FRES @ TXST Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>