ENES
CFB · TotalLocked ReleaseKickoff Market Move: Under 60.5 → 59.5 (-1.0 pts)

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Mon, Nov 9, 1:33 PM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 38 books
59.5 (19 consensus books · 38 tracked)
Market Move
60.5 to 59.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 95 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (149 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
FRES 25.3% · TXST 74.7%
Consensus Spread
TXST -9.5
Consensus Total
59.5
Market-Implied Score
FRES 25 – TXST 34.5

Market Brief: FRES @ TXST Total

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 59.5 -101 / Under 59.5 +101 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:25 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 59.5 -107 at ProphetX; Under 60 -110 at Fanatics.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 60.5 to 59.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 39 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the FRES @ TXST total consensus line and best price per side?

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Texas State Bobcats Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 59.5 -101 / Under 59.5 +101 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 8:25 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 59.5 -107 at ProphetX; Under 60 -110 at Fanatics.

How has the FRES @ TXST total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 60.5 to 59.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 39 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for FRES @ TXST total?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the FRES @ TXST total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 59.5 -101 (50.2% across 19 books)
Best price: 59.5 -107 at ProphetX
Under
Vig-free consensus 59.5 +101 (49.8% across 19 books)
Best price: 60 -110 at Fanatics

FRES @ TXST Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM59.5-10859.5-110BetMGM
Caesars59.5-11359.5-107Caesars
DraftKings59.5-11259.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel59.5-11059.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics60-11060-110Fanatics
ProphetX59.5-10759.5+101ProphetX

Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus 59.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: FRES @ TXST Total

Across 38 tracked sportsbooks, the FRES @ TXST total moved from an opening number of 60.5 to 59.5 toward Under (1.0 pt).

Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 59.5 -107 at ProphetX; Under 60 -110 at Fanatics. Quoting books currently span 2.0 pts across the market.

CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.1% of moved lines ahead of close (94 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 10

Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 13–Nov 10): 59-47, +24.3u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date95846149
Last 30 days67436107

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-total-2026-11-14-27510" title="Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State Bobcats Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/fresno-state-bulldogs-at-texas-state-bobcats-total-2026-11-14-27510">FRES @ TXST Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>