Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 43 books
- ASU +154 (43 consensus books · 43 tracked)
- Market Move
- UCF 62.3% to 63.6% (1.4% implied probability toward UCF)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- ASU 39.4% · UCF 60.6%
- Consensus Spread
- UCF -3.5
- Consensus Total
- 47.5
- Market-Implied Score
- ASU 22 – UCF 25.5
Market Brief: ASU @ UCF Moneyline
Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ASU +154 / UCF -154 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: ASU +146 at ProphetX; UCF -152 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 62.3% to 63.6% toward UCF (1.4% implied probability) across 46 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
What is the ASU @ UCF moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ASU +154 / UCF -154 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: ASU +146 at ProphetX; UCF -152 at ProphetX.
How has the ASU @ UCF moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 62.3% to 63.6% toward UCF (1.4% implied probability) across 46 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for ASU @ UCF moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
Why is the ASU @ UCF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward UCF across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
ASU @ UCF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus ASU +154. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: ASU @ UCF Moneyline
The Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights moneyline opened at 62.3% implied probability for UCF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 63.6% implied probability for UCF across 46 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward UCF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 6:59 PM ET, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UCF by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights moneyline.
Across the 43 sportsbooks currently quoting the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 43-book consensus prices ASU at +154 (39.4% vig-free probability) and UCF at -154 (60.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ASU +146 at ProphetX; UCF -152 at ProphetX.
In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-moneyline-2026-11-14-27486" title="Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-moneyline-2026-11-14-27486">ASU @ UCF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>