Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 13 books
- 26.5 (10 consensus books · 13 tracked)
- Market Move
- 26.5 to 26.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- ASU 41.4% · UCF 58.6%
- Consensus Spread
- UCF -3
- Consensus Total
- 48.5
- Market-Implied Score
- ASU 22.8 – UCF 25.8
Market Brief: ASU @ UCF Home Team Total
Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 26.5 +104 / Under 26.5 -104 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 25.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 26.5 -110 at BetMGM.
The line is unchanged since open (26.5) across 14 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
What is the ASU @ UCF home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 26.5 +104 / Under 26.5 -104 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 25.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 26.5 -110 at BetMGM.
How has the ASU @ UCF home team total moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (26.5) across 14 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for ASU @ UCF home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
Why is the ASU @ UCF Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
ASU @ UCF Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 26.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: ASU @ UCF Home Team Total
The Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights UCF Knights team total opened at 26.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 26.5 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights UCF Knights team total.
Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights UCF Knights team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices Over at 26.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 26.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 25.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 26.5 -110 at BetMGM.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27486" title="Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27486">ASU @ UCF Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>