Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 9 books
- 86.5 (6 consensus books · 9 tracked)
- Market Move
- 87.5 to 86.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 51 · At close: 6 · Behind: 58 (115 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BALL 4.5% · SMU 95.5%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -22.5
- Consensus Total
- 151.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BALL 64.5 – SMU 87
Market Brief: BALL @ SMU Home Team Total
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 86.5 -104 / Under 86.5 +104 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:33 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 86.5 -105 at Caesars; Under 86.5 -106 at DraftKings.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET), the line moved from 87.5 to 86.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 9 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
What is the BALL @ SMU home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 86.5 -104 / Under 86.5 +104 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:33 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 86.5 -105 at Caesars; Under 86.5 -106 at DraftKings.
How has the BALL @ SMU home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET), the line moved from 87.5 to 86.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 9 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BALL @ SMU home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
Why is the BALL @ SMU Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BALL @ SMU Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus 86.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BALL @ SMU Home Team Total
The Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total opened at 87.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 86.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:33 PM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 9:01 AM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total.
Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 6-book consensus prices Over at 86.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 86.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 86.5 -105 at Caesars; Under 86.5 -106 at DraftKings.
In the CBB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 51 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 58 (115 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 46.8% of moved lines ahead of close (51 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 58 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 12
Release Record — CBB team totals, last 7 days (Nov 7–Nov 12): 41-26, +30.5u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 47% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-34893" title="Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-34893">BALL @ SMU Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>