Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 34 books
- BALL +23.5 (16 consensus books · 34 tracked)
- Market Move
- SMU -22.5 to -23.5 (1.0 pt toward SMU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 41 · At close: 34 · Behind: 55 (130 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BALL 4.4% · SMU 95.6%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -23.5
- Consensus Total
- 153.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BALL 65 – SMU 88.5
Market Brief: BALL @ SMU Spread
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BALL +23.5 -100 / SMU -23.5 +100 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:05 PM ET). Best price per side: BALL +23.5 -108 at DraftKings; SMU -22.5 -120 at FanDuel.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from SMU -22.5 to SMU -23.5 (1.0 pt) across 34 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
What is the BALL @ SMU spread consensus line and best price per side?
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BALL +23.5 -100 / SMU -23.5 +100 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:05 PM ET). Best price per side: BALL +23.5 -108 at DraftKings; SMU -22.5 -120 at FanDuel.
How has the BALL @ SMU spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from SMU -22.5 to SMU -23.5 (1.0 pt) across 34 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BALL @ SMU spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
Why is the BALL @ SMU spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward SMU across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BALL @ SMU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 34 sportsbooks, consensus BALL +23.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BALL @ SMU Spread
The Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs spread opened at SMU -22.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET) and currently sits at SMU -23.5 across 34 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward SMU. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:05 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 10:14 PM ET, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs spread.
Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices BALL at +23.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and SMU at -23.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BALL +23.5 -108 at DraftKings; SMU -22.5 -120 at FanDuel.
In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 41 · At the close: 34 · Behind close: 55 (130 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (42 Ahead of close · 35 At the close · 56 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 12
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-spread-2026-11-13-34893" title="Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-spread-2026-11-13-34893">BALL @ SMU Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>