Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 23 books
- 153.5 (9 consensus books · 23 tracked)
- Market Move
- 150.5 to 153.5 (3.0 pts toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 26 · At close: 35 · Behind: 33 (94 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BALL 4.7% · SMU 95.3%
- Consensus Spread
- SMU -22.5
- Consensus Total
- 153.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BALL 65.5 – SMU 88
Market Brief: BALL @ SMU Total
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 153.5 +101 / Under 153.5 -101 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (23 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 151.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 154.5 -108 at DraftKings.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from 150.5 to 153.5 toward Over (3.0 pts) across 23 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
What is the BALL @ SMU total consensus line and best price per side?
Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 153.5 +101 / Under 153.5 -101 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (23 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 151.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 154.5 -108 at DraftKings.
How has the BALL @ SMU total moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from 150.5 to 153.5 toward Over (3.0 pts) across 23 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BALL @ SMU total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
Why is the BALL @ SMU total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 2.0 pts toward Over across 23 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BALL @ SMU Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 153.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BALL @ SMU Total
The Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs total opened at 150.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 153.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:49 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 7:44 PM ET, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs total.
As of Thu, Nov 12, 9:30 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.9% toward Over across 23 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 2.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 153.5 +101 (49.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 153.5 -101 (50.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 151.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 154.5 -108 at DraftKings.
In the CBB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 26 · At the close: 35 · Behind close: 33 (94 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 44.1% of moved lines ahead of close (26 Ahead of close · 35 At the close · 33 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 12
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 44% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-total-2026-11-13-34893" title="Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-total-2026-11-13-34893">BALL @ SMU Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>