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CBB · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
72.5 (10 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
72.5 to 72.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 24 · At close: 2 · Behind: 18 (44 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BALL 4.4% · SMU 95.6%
Consensus Spread
SMU -22.5
Consensus Total
151.5
Market-Implied Score
BALL 64.5 – SMU 87

Market Brief: BALL @ SMU 1st Half Total

Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 72.5 +105 / Under 72.5 -105 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:18 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 71.5 -115 at Fanatics; Under 72.5 -120 at BetMGM.

The line is unchanged since open (72.5) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the BALL @ SMU 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 72.5 +105 / Under 72.5 -105 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:18 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 71.5 -115 at Fanatics; Under 72.5 -120 at BetMGM.

How has the BALL @ SMU 1st half total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (72.5) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BALL @ SMU 1st half total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the BALL @ SMU 1st Half Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 72.5 +105 (48.9% across 10 books)
Best price: 71.5 -115 at Fanatics
Under
Vig-free consensus 72.5 -105 (51.1% across 10 books)
Best price: 72.5 -120 at BetMGM

BALL @ SMU 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM72.5-11072.5-120BetMGM
Caesars72.5-11072.5-120Caesars
DraftKings71.5-12571.5-105DraftKings
Fanatics71.5-11571.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX71.5-12771.5-111ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus 72.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: BALL @ SMU 1st Half Total

The Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs first-half total opened at 72.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 5:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 72.5 across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:18 PM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 12:52 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs first-half total.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices Over at 72.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 72.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 71.5 -115 at Fanatics; Under 72.5 -120 at BetMGM.

In the CBB first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 24 · At the close: 2 · Behind close: 18 (44 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (24 Ahead of close · 2 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Nov 1–Nov 12

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date2421844
Last 30 days2421844

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-1h-total-2026-11-13-34893" title="Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/ball-state-cardinals-at-smu-mustangs-1h-total-2026-11-13-34893">BALL @ SMU 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>