Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 9 books
- 78.5 (4 consensus books · 9 tracked)
- Market Move
- 81.5 to 79.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 51 · At close: 6 · Behind: 58 (115 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- XAV 61.2% · MSST 38.9%
- Consensus Spread
- MSST +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 161.5
- Market-Implied Score
- XAV 82.5 – MSST 79
Market Brief: XAV @ MSST Home Team Total
Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 78.5 -104 / Under 78.5 +104 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:35 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 78.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 78.5 -105 at Caesars.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET), the line moved from 81.5 to 79.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 9 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
What is the XAV @ MSST home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 78.5 -104 / Under 78.5 +104 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:35 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 78.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 78.5 -105 at Caesars.
How has the XAV @ MSST home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET), the line moved from 81.5 to 79.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 9 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for XAV @ MSST home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: XAV @ MSST
Why is the XAV @ MSST Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 0.8 pts toward Under across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 2.0 pts toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
XAV @ MSST Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus 78.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: XAV @ MSST Home Team Total
The Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total opened at 81.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 79.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 3:35 PM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 11:19 AM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total.
As of Fri, Nov 13, 3:12 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +8.3% toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 2.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 4-book consensus prices Over at 78.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 78.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 78.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 78.5 -105 at Caesars.
In the CBB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 51 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 58 (115 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 46.8% of moved lines ahead of close (51 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 58 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 12
Release Record — CBB team totals, last 7 days (Nov 7–Nov 12): 41-26, +30.5u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 47% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-34894" title="Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-home-team-total-2026-11-13-34894">XAV @ MSST Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>