Detroit +1.5
Detroit just scored ten, eight, and seven on the road and the casual read wants to lay the Tigers straight up on the moneyline, but that is a three-game stretch against a twenty-game baseline closer to three and a half runs a side. Against a tighter matchup at home this projects to a close, one-run game, the exact spot where the moneyline can lose on a single late run and the run line cannot. Detroit plus the run and a half at -146 covers the one-run loss and the outright win alike, a read rated 74, with the GEMs and the rest of the slate in the Terminal.

