Top Picks Direct from the Terminal

The HOTSHEET is released twice per day—an AM sheet and a PM sheet—each containing the top five picks per sport, automatically generated by the WAGERBIRD OS. These picks represent the highest-rated plays at the time of release, based on internal confidence scoring and current market conditions. It is a direct output of the terminal, built for clarity, speed, and performance.

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Each HOTSHEET includes a mix of Game Totals, Team Totals, and Spreads or Run Lines. All picks are backed by internal analytics and scored between 70 to 100 confidence points. The selections are determined by the OS’s performance-weighted model and adjusted per sport.

No. The HOTSHEET is a standalone product that mirrors the most valuable outputs of the WAGERBIRD Terminal, which runs on the WAGERBIRD OS. Each sheet delivers the highest-rated picks at the exact moment the system is executed—without requiring full terminal access.

• AM HOTSHEET: Delivered by 10:00 AM ET
• PM HOTSHEET: Delivered by 4:00 PM ET‍‍‍

Choose between Email or SMS delivery at checkout.

To protect the integrity of each release. The WAGERBIRD HOTSHEET reflects the most current market data and internal ratings at the time of system execution. Allowing purchases after the HOTSHEET has been finalized would introduce pricing inconsistencies, timing issues, and unfair advantages.

By enforcing clear cutoff times—9:15 AM ET for AM HOTSHEET and 3:15 PM ET for PM HOTSHEET—we ensure that:

• All users receive the same picks at the same time
  
  
• Lines and probabilities are synchronized with system calculations
  
  
• The performance guarantee remains valid and measurable
  
  

Purchases made after the cutoff are automatically applied to the next HOTSHEET drop, keeping the process clean, fair, and market-aligned.

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Yes. Every sport is sold separately. You may purchase access to one or multiple HOTSHEETS, depending on which sports are currently being offered.

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No. All HOTSHEET purchases are one-time access unless you select a weekly or monthly plan.

Yes. After purchase, contact support to update your delivery method (Email ↔ SMS). Future HOTSHEET drops will reflect your new preference.

Yes. The HOTSHEET is backed by a Net Confidence Point Guarantee.

If the total points across all picks result in a net negative outcome, your next HOTSHEET (same sport) is provided free of charge.

Example:

• 5 picks rated between 70–100 points
  
  
• Final result = 4 wins, 1 loss → Net Positive → No credit
  
  

Final result = 2 wins, 3 losses → Net Negative → Next HOTSHEET free

No. HOTSHEET contents are never disclosed in advance. For competitive reasons and to maintain the integrity of the product, all picks are released simultaneously to all eligible users.

Revealing matchups beforehand would compromise the fairness, timing precision, and overall structure of the system. The WAGERBIRD HOTSHEET is designed to mirror professional trading-grade workflows—information is distributed only at the scheduled release time.

Each pick is based on a widely available consensus line, drawn from major sportsbooks at the time of HOTSHEET generation. The line is selected for clarity and accessibility, ensuring it reflects what is broadly available in the live market.

If your sportsbook offers a different line than the one listed on the HOTSHEET, you should buy the necessary points to match the official release number, if available. This ensures your results are consistent with the performance measurement framework used by WAGERBIRD OS.

HOT SHEET picks may include Game Totals, Team Totals, Spreads/Run Lines, or First Half plays. If your sportsbook doesn’t offer a specific pick type, that is a limitation of your provider. All performance calculations are based strictly on the released pick and line.

The HOTSHEET is structured around markets that are widely available across reputable sportsbooks. Users are expected to maintain access to platforms that support full board coverage. If not, this may limit your ability to act on certain selections.

No. Each HOTSHEET is distributed in real time and is not archived for later viewing. This ensures that the information remains time-sensitive, relevant, and aligned with market integrity.

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Each pick is rated between 70 and 100 Confidence Points, based on internal modeling from the WAGERBIRD OS. Higher point values indicate greater conviction and a stronger alignment with historical efficiency trends and pricing indicators. These scores are used to track net performance across each sheet.

WAGERBIRD does not track performance in traditional win/loss terms. Instead, outcomes are measured by net Confidence Points. This framework reflects the real structure of how picks are modeled and prioritized within the system.

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WAGERBIRD does not use “units” in the traditional sense. Instead, each pick is scored between 10 and 100 Confidence Points based on the internal logic of the WAGERBIRD OS.

Within the full WAGERBIRD Terminal, picks may range from 10 to 100 points. However, because the HOTSHEET only includes the top-rated plays of the day, all selections fall within the 70 to 100 point band.

These values are not subjective—they are system-derived based on real-time modeling, pricing alignment, and probability strength.

While every user should wager within their personal risk tolerance, most clients treat each Confidence Point as the equivalent of $1, using the point value as a direct guide for position sizing.

For example:

• A pick rated at 92 Points = $92 risked
  
  
• A pick rated at 74 Points = $74 risked
  
  

This approach allows users to scale their exposure proportionally and maintain consistency across all HOTSHEET selections.

If you prefer to work off a lower baseline (e.g., $0.50 or $0.25 per point), the system still functions as intended—the key is proportionality.

Confidence Points (WAGERBIRD)

• Precision: Confidence Points range from 10 to 100, providing a granular, dynamic measure of betting strength.
  
  
• Scale: More levels = more accuracy. The system isn’t limited to a few tiers—it allows for fine-tuning of bet sizing based on the system’s performance evaluation.
  
  
• Flexibility: Points are tailored to your preferred risk level. For example, users can choose to risk $1 per point, $0.50 per point, or any customized value to maintain consistent proportionality.
  
  
• Real-Time Alignment: Confidence Points are generated by WAGERBIRD OS, taking into account real-time market conditions and internal modeling, ensuring each pick reflects up-to-date information.
  
  

Units (Traditional Betting System)

• Simplicity: Units generally range from 0.25 to 5 (or sometimes higher for max bets), offering limited flexibility and fewer levels.
  
  
• Generalization: Units group all plays into broad categories like low, medium, and high, often ignoring market-specific nuances.
  
  
• Risk Consistency: Units help maintain consistency in bet sizing, but they do not adjust dynamically based on real-time market data or specific game context.
  
  

Tracking: Units are useful for tracking performance across different picks, but they don’t provide the detailed, precise insight needed for high-level analytics.

• Granular Precision: Confidence Points are more detailed, allowing you to scale bets based on the exact strength of each pick, rather than just three broad categories.
  
  
• Smarter Decisions: With carefully delineated levels of confidence, you can bet more intelligently and understand exactly how much weight the system is giving each pick.
  
  
• Adaptability: You have full control over bet sizing, whether you prefer to bet small or large amounts. Confidence Points can be easily scaled to fit your personal strategy.

Dynamic Modeling: Sportsbooks use complex algorithms to assess and adjust odds based on real-time betting activity. They constantly monitor which side of a bet is attracting more action and adjust the odds to balance the book and mitigate risk. This is based on large-scale market data and the probability of outcomes.

Bet Sizing and Adjustments: Sportsbooks evaluate risk exposure and adjust limits or odds accordingly. If too much money is coming in on one side, they may lower the maximum bet or increase the odds to attract action on the other side.

Proprietary Systems: The tools sportsbooks use to assess risk are far more data-driven than the simple “unit” system used by recreational bettors. These models weigh market volatility, team performance metrics, betting trends, and historical data.

Precision in Evaluation: Just like sportsbooks, WAGERBIRD’s Confidence Points are not static or generalized; they are calculated dynamically based on real-time market conditions and the internal performance of the teams involved. This is far more nuanced than the “0.25 to 5 units” approach that traditional bettors use.

Real-Time Market Sensitivity: WAGERBIRD is aligned with how sportsbooks assess risk, where each pick is evaluated not just by historical performance but by how it fits into the broader market context. Confidence Points are a data-driven reflection of this market assessment, ensuring the most valuable plays are highlighted at any given time.

Scalable and Flexible: The system allows bettors to make decisions based on proportionality rather than crude units, giving more flexibility and granularity in bet sizing, just as sportsbooks adjust limits based on betting behavior.

While units are used by many recreational bettors for simplicity, they don’t reflect the data-driven risk models that sportsbooks use. WAGERBIRD’s Confidence Points align more closely with how professional sportsbooks measure risk, leveraging dynamic, real-time evaluations of each pick based on market conditions and statistical models.

Our system offers the same sophisticated, nuanced approach to bet sizing that sportsbooks use, giving you an edge by providing precise confidence metrics tied directly to the market’s current state.